Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.281348 0.322585 0.366793 0.417598 0.474254 0.535371 0.606167
2026-01-18 0.218645 0.275423 0.341097 0.422179 0.519059 0.630551 0.767971
2026-01-25 0.171809 0.236525 0.316858 0.422703 0.557149 0.720784 0.933389
2026-02-01 0.137208 0.205508 0.296085 0.422746 0.592690 0.809956 1.105370
2026-02-08 0.110860 0.179964 0.277493 0.421570 0.624697 0.895982 1.279812
2026-02-15 0.089783 0.157558 0.259069 0.416936 0.649876 0.973525 1.447993
2026-02-22 0.076487 0.144180 0.251181 0.425381 0.692880 1.077459 1.658597
2026-03-01 0.063311 0.128308 0.236733 0.421371 0.716065 1.153797 1.834478
2026-03-08 0.053610 0.116406 0.226606 0.422241 0.745688 1.240474 2.029800
2026-03-15 0.044577 0.103838 0.213270 0.415721 0.762162 1.307403 2.198770
2026-03-22 0.040228 0.099453 0.213588 0.432046 0.816524 1.435673 2.467899
2026-03-29 0.036435 0.095428 0.213868 0.447999 0.871053 1.567011 2.748472
2026-04-05 0.031606 0.088300 0.207401 0.451275 0.904648 1.667713 2.988257
2026-04-12 0.027228 0.081245 0.200018 0.451881 0.933377 1.762007 3.222952
2026-04-19 0.023296 0.074344 0.191870 0.449918 0.956994 1.848792 3.449709
2026-04-26 0.020002 0.068253 0.184487 0.448480 0.981139 1.937516 3.683927
2026-05-03 0.017158 0.062640 0.177255 0.446372 1.003516 2.024026 3.918305
2026-05-10 0.014556 0.056998 0.169007 0.440998 1.018772 2.098255 4.134634
2026-05-17 0.013036 0.054218 0.167242 0.449547 1.062191 2.225688 4.449832
2026-05-24 0.011127 0.049629 0.160152 0.445165 1.078711 2.304032 4.681030
2026-05-31 0.009699 0.046222 0.155561 0.445971 1.105859 2.403457 4.954350
2026-06-07 0.008198 0.042046 0.148143 0.439079 1.115916 2.470520 5.171214
2026-06-14 0.007653 0.041347 0.150405 0.456139 1.178987 2.643182 5.590395